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Pleasantly Surprised!
Sep. 1st, 2007 08:30 amWay back in April I predicted a win for V for Vendetta or The Prestige. This was my second prediction, the first being based upon the erroneous announcement that Pirates of the Caribbean 2 was on the list rather than Pan's Labyrinth. Today I am very happy to have been wrong and find that Guillermo Del Toro did indeed have the fannish mojo to win the Hugo.
Looking at the full ballot results I see that I was exactly right about A Scanner Darkly being eliminated first after No Award. I'm a bit surprised that Children of Men did as well as it did, but then I did not revisit my predictions with full box office numbers later on. But overall my system of predicting the Hugos seems to be not very good. Near useless really. Which is probably a good thing. It means that fans are not the anti-intellectuals that they are sometimes portrayed to be.
And I honestly think that the best speculative fiction movie did win.
Next year I should come up with a system of prediction based upon other factors if I can think up a good hypothesis and retest this one again to confirm its lack of worth.
Looking at the full ballot results I see that I was exactly right about A Scanner Darkly being eliminated first after No Award. I'm a bit surprised that Children of Men did as well as it did, but then I did not revisit my predictions with full box office numbers later on. But overall my system of predicting the Hugos seems to be not very good. Near useless really. Which is probably a good thing. It means that fans are not the anti-intellectuals that they are sometimes portrayed to be.
And I honestly think that the best speculative fiction movie did win.
Next year I should come up with a system of prediction based upon other factors if I can think up a good hypothesis and retest this one again to confirm its lack of worth.